Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.113958 0.135022 0.158586 0.186858 0.219811 0.256962 0.301976
2025-01-26 0.083385 0.111127 0.145645 0.191556 0.250805 0.324453 0.422682
2025-02-02 0.064885 0.094947 0.135630 0.194276 0.276138 0.385753 0.542934
2025-02-09 0.052164 0.082606 0.126810 0.194943 0.296399 0.440753 0.660244
2025-02-16 0.043634 0.074047 0.121005 0.197693 0.318395 0.499233 0.788163
2025-02-23 0.038218 0.068981 0.119134 0.205324 0.347718 0.570841 0.942923
2025-03-02 0.031494 0.060334 0.109879 0.199274 0.353918 0.606715 1.045569
2025-03-09 0.027145 0.054927 0.104996 0.199428 0.369725 0.658911 1.179318
2025-03-16 0.023180 0.049440 0.098986 0.196462 0.379315 0.701163 1.300231
2025-03-23 0.020849 0.046665 0.097452 0.201268 0.403066 0.769891 1.473611
2025-03-30 0.018160 0.042646 0.092853 0.199441 0.413997 0.816502 1.611734
2025-04-06 0.015621 0.038461 0.087240 0.194694 0.418475 0.851296 1.731066
2025-04-13 0.013311 0.034403 0.081359 0.188755 0.420239 0.881931 1.847519
2025-04-20 0.012110 0.032714 0.080350 0.193068 0.443660 0.957439 2.059693
2025-04-27 0.010941 0.030876 0.078707 0.195710 0.463800 1.028358 2.269793
2025-05-04 0.009799 0.028876 0.076356 0.196360 0.479570 1.091748 2.470578
2025-05-11 0.008918 0.027390 0.074999 0.199124 0.500360 1.167725 2.705121
2025-05-18 0.008380 0.026747 0.075639 0.206805 0.533403 1.273429 3.013644
2025-05-25 0.007271 0.024231 0.071044 0.200714 0.532935 1.304740 3.161466
2025-06-01 0.006563 0.022764 0.068998 0.200869 0.547656 1.371825 3.395913
2025-06-08 0.005822 0.021034 0.065941 0.197883 0.554102 1.420258 3.591990
2025-06-15 0.005434 0.020359 0.065764 0.202721 0.581171 1.520085 3.917475
2025-06-22 0.004875 0.018989 0.063332 0.200882 0.590454 1.577757 4.147600